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PLoS Comput Biol 9 7 : e Editor: Philip E. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. The funders had no role in the preparation of the manuscript. Competing interests: The author has declared that no competing interests exist.
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This paper examines methods for structural interpretation of vector autoregressions when the identifying information is regarded as imperfect or incomplete. We suggest that a Bayesian approach offers a unifying theme for guiding inference in such settings. Among other advantages, the unified approach solves a problem with calculating elasticities that appears not to have been recognized by earlier researchers. We also call attention to some computational concerns of which researchers who approach this problem using other methods should be aware.
Measuring the Credit Gap , coauthored with Daniel Leff. We revisit the analysis by Drehmann and Yetman and conclude that measuring the credit gap based on the 5-year growth rate of the credit-to-GDP ratio produces a more reliable and robust predictor of financial crises than does the Hodrick-Prescott filtered series.
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Skip to content. Skip to navigation. The Author-date Harvard system is comprised of 2 elements: in-text citation and a bibliography at the end of the document. In the text of an assignment ideas taken from other people are indicated by placing the author’s surname and the date of publication in brackets, for example Joyner, The bibliography at the end of the document then lists the references in alphabetical order by author’s surname. The following guidance is based on rules set out in Pears, R.
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